Morocco to cut wheat imports by 200,000 tons in 2025/2026, USDA reports
The reduction stems from improved domestic cereal production and well-managed strategic grain reserves
MOROCCO – Morocco is set to reduce wheat imports to 6.7 million tons for the 2025-2026 season, down 200,000 tons from the previous year, according to the latest U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecast.
This reduction reflects improving domestic harvests and strategic stock management despite ongoing climate challenges.
The reduction stems from improved domestic cereal production and well-managed strategic grain reserves, positioning Morocco favorably in an era of fluctuating global food prices.
Unlike some regional neighbors, such as Egypt, which remains heavily reliant on international markets, Morocco has pursued a diversified procurement strategy, blending imports with domestic stockpiling and bilateral trade agreements.
“This isn’t just about importing less; it’s about smarter food security governance. Morocco is balancing domestic capacity with strategic reserves and flexible trade partnerships to cushion against supply shocks,” said a Rabat-based agricultural analyst.
Despite the dip in wheat demand, Morocco remains a key battleground for major grain exporters.
France, historically the top supplier, is reinforcing its position through sustainability-focused trade partnerships and technical cooperation. Meanwhile, Russia, the world’s largest wheat exporter, is expanding its footprint in North Africa, eyeing Morocco as a gateway to West African markets.
Kazakhstan, traditionally a minor player, is also making inroads, leveraging competitive pricing and Mediterranean trade routes to boost its presence. Morocco’s use of modulated tenders and flexible tariffs ensures it avoids over-reliance on any single supplier while securing favorable terms.
Maize demand grows with poultry boom
In contrast to the slight decline in wheat imports, Morocco’s maize imports are forecast to increase by 200,000 tons, reaching 2.9 million tons in the upcoming marketing year.
According to the USDA, this uptick is largely driven by the growing demands of the country’s rapidly industrializing poultry and livestock sectors, which require a steady and cost-effective supply of feed grains.
Ukraine, Brazil, and the United States are expected to remain the primary maize suppliers. Morocco has continued to diversify sources to mitigate risk and optimize costs amid shifting geopolitical and climatic conditions.
The National Interprofessional Office for Cereals and Legumes (ONICL) plays a pivotal role in stabilizing supply through strategic reserves, subsidies, and import tenders. By aligning domestic production forecasts with global market conditions, ONICL helps Morocco navigate price volatility while supporting local farmers.
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