Dependence on imported fuel and fertiliser leaves producers exposed to global shocks.

SOUTH AFRICA – Grain SA and FERTASA (Fertilizer Association of Southern Africa) say current market changes will directly affect South African farmers, as the country depends heavily on imported fuel and fertiliser, leaving producers exposed to global shocks.
Conflict in the Middle East, with a focus on Iran, has started to shake global energy and farm input markets. Brent crude oil prices have climbed, at times moving past $100 per barrel. This rise follows fears around supply routes such as the Strait of Hormuz. As a result, fertiliser markets, especially nitrogen products, have started to react, with more price increases expected.
Higher diesel prices now raise the cost of planting, harvesting and transport. At the same time, fertiliser price increases add more strain to farmers who already face tight margins. Currency pressure and market swings also make it harder for farmers to plan and buy inputs.
Grain SA and FERTASA stress the need for shared responsibility across the value chain. They urge all players to act with care during this period.
“As partners within the same value chain, there is a shared responsibility to support sustainable production and to avoid placing additional strain on primary producers during periods of short-term market volatility,” the groups said.
The organisations advise farmers to review fertiliser plans based on soil tests and expected yields. They also encourage better fuel use through proper equipment care and efficient field work.
Farmers should update their budgets and review break-even points to stay on track. Risk tools such as forward pricing and crop mix changes can help reduce exposure. Close tracking of global markets will also help farmers respond in time.
Grain SA and FERTASA add that farmers who can afford it should secure fertiliser and fuel early, especially if the conflict continues.
Industry focus shifts to resilience
These concerns come as the sector prepares for the 2026 NAMPO Harvest Day, set for 12 to 15 May at NAMPO Park in Bothaville. The event will focus on how farmers can stay profitable under pressure from rising costs, climate risks and market shifts.
“Resilience is no longer only about survival, but about the ability to adapt, make better decisions and remain sustainably profitable,” said Dr Dirk Strydom, Managing Director of NAMPO Pty Ltd.
NAMPO 2026 will feature new machinery, spray drone demos and wider global participation. Organisers have also expanded the exhibition space and added new visitor areas.
Grain SA and FERTASA say they will keep tracking global events and continue working with partners to support farmers during this uncertain period.
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